A stagnant labor market shows expectations of growth are neutral, thereby freezing employment growth. The current state of stagnation in the labor market has been visible in July and August’s stops in […]
Labor Market in need of higher expectations
US labor market is neither shrinking nor expanding
Considering recent data on Unemployment Insurance Claims where new issues are both not outstanding, and within the trend (227,000), as well as employment payroll lackluster additions (114,000), what labor analysts observe is […]
Industries that may adjust hiring as the Labor Market softens
Recent uptick in the Unemployment Rate may be a spillover of the so-called “Great Resignation”. The main effect of the phenomenon has been a tight Labor Market where employers struggled to find […]
All Eyes on Sticky Wage Inflation
Despite recent labor market cooldown news, data show price increases may have a greater risk than unemployment rate increases. Analysts looking to understand the balance of risk within the Federal Reserve dual […]
The overuse of the word “Strong” in economic news.
The US economy added 228,000 new jobs in November of 2017 and analysts rush to assess the state of the economy as “STRONG.” Although the job reports are indeed good indicators of […]
Tempering retail sales expectations on holiday season 2017.
The US Holiday Season started with high anxiety for the Retail Industry as online retailers registered high volume of sales on Black Friday 2017. Pre-holiday season reports signaled not much change in […]
Why Is the Homeownership Rate Still Falling? An alternative explanation.
When it comes to loan rates, the one that concerns the most regular consumers is the mortgage loan interest rate. This past February 2016 a 30-year mortgage interest rate averaged 3.66 percent […]
“Core” inflation might be reflecting pressures solely generated by retailers.
Data on both unemployment and prices have monetary policy analysts wondering whether or not the US supply side of the economy is heading towards overheating. Thus far, indicators on industrial production and […]
Unemployment rate continues to decline in July 2015.
The unemployment rate continues to decline in July 2015 for most of the metropolitan areas within the United States. 92% of the metropolitan areas in the Nation experienced lower unemployment rates than […]
It’s time to look at price changes without accounting for oil price effect.
After a year of declining crude oil prices which forged price spillovers all over the US economy, it is time for economists to look at price changes without accounting for the petrol […]
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