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Summer 2025 Labor Market starts with weakening signals from Unemployment Insurance Claims

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on May 29, 2025 • ( Leave a comment )

No significant changes on US Inflation Data (April 2025)

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on May 27, 2025 • ( Leave a comment )

Tracking Unemployment Trends: Weekly Claims Jump to 241,000

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on May 1, 2025 • ( Leave a comment )

Introducing the LLM-Less Software Application

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on April 30, 2025 • ( Leave a comment )

Very Low Level of Unemployment Insurance Claims (week of 2025-04-12)

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on April 17, 2025 • ( Leave a comment )

Households ease expectations about high prices

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on October 9, 2024 • ( Leave a comment )

Number of Waged Workers Decreased. Not seen since the Pandemic

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on July 17, 2024 • ( 1 Comment )

The number of salaried workers, which excludes self-employed, decreased to levels seen in the third quarter of 2022. The annual percent change registered a negative number (-1% on an annual basis) only […]

Import Prices on the Rise Rapidly, Jeopardize US Inflation

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on July 16, 2024 • ( Leave a comment )

International trade contributes mixed signals on import prices as fuel and major trade partners’ prices offset each other. Prices for all import items from Canada, Mexico, and Europe increased by 3.2 percent […]

Inflation concerns from overheated labor market may be over

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on July 13, 2024 • ( 1 Comment )

Federal Reserve Officials’ concerns about the overheated labor market may be over. The focus now is on prices. Recent data on inflation suggests that the monetary policy effect on shelter prices is […]

More to wait on Inflation: Lagged Effect on Cost of Shelter

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on July 11, 2024 • ( 2 Comments )

Core Inflation remains over the Federal Reserve Target 2% mostly driven by Cost of Shelter. However, Cost of Shelter shows a lagged effect from monetary tightening. It is a matter of time and […]

Skyrocket Productivity yet Lower Compensation in Real Estate Business

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on July 8, 2024 • ( Leave a comment )

Despite increases in sector productivity and median home prices, recent events on commission distribution and high interest rates on mortgages have led the real estate business activity to slow down in the […]

US economy on strong equilibrium: June 2024 Jobs Report

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on July 5, 2024 • ( Leave a comment )

The US economy is keeping track on a healthy and sound equilibrium as hiring, workers, and unemployment show encouraging data. On June 2024 the 4.1% US Unemployment Rate shows little change as […]

Quits Levels Back to Normal, May 2024

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on July 2, 2024 • ( 2 Comments )

Employees quitted jobs at a lower pace gearing up for the summer 2024. Current BLS Quits Data could have spillovers on Monetary Policy, Mortgages, and Remote Work. Voluntary separations from employment went […]

Rent Prices Stickiness and the Latest CPI Data.

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on February 14, 2018 • ( Leave a comment )

Fear of increasing inflation in the U.S. appear to be the trigger behind the market volatility of previous weeks. Recent gains in hourly compensation to workers have had analysts measuring the effect […]

Timorous evidence of “Contagious Effect” after Dow Sell-Off.

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on February 9, 2018 • ( Leave a comment )

The stock market seems to be returning to the old normal of higher levels of volatility. I suggested on Tuesday that former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan’s comments could have brought back volatility by triggering […]

The Missing Part of the Dow Jones and Stock Market Sell-off Analysis.

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on February 9, 2018 • ( Leave a comment )

The stock market keeps on sending signals of correction as the Dow Jones struggle to rebound from Monday’s 5th of February sell-off. Economic analysts began early in the week to point out […]

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Statistics and Time Series. »

The Interest on Reserves Balances Facility passed its first two days of tests

Maryland Unemployment Rate by County, Estimates for July 2024

Import Prices on the Rise Rapidly, Jeopardize US Inflation

Politics »

Data show Car Industry does just well without Donald Trump’s Advice.

Does a worker choose not to work when collecting Social Security?

Do Workers on Unemployment Insurance make Other Workers’ Income Worst?

Economic History »

Towards rethinking the saving rate in Solow-Swan Model.

Housing building fatigue: an alternative interpretation of the origin of the Great Recession.

Protected: If Smith and Ricardo were right, what patterns of economic specialization should we observe under free trade?

Policy »

All Eyes on Sticky Wage Inflation

Number of Waged Workers Decreased. Not seen since the Pandemic

Inflation concerns from overheated labor market may be over

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Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo

Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo

At Econometricus LLC we have more than eight years of experience in implementing and refactoring R Programming Scripts. We deliver high-quality, no-violation of assumptions advanced analytics results. We communicate findings with the utmost transparency, starting with human-readable R codes, methodologies, and sound-business interpretation of analytics outcomes. Industry-wise, we have worked with Pharmaceutical, Marketing, Insurance. We implement process automations via visually appealing R-Shiny web application/dashboards.

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