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AI Use Case: The Impact of Training on Police Misconduct Rates

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on August 4, 2026 • ( Leave a comment )

Summer 2025 Labor Market starts with weakening signals from Unemployment Insurance Claims

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on May 29, 2025 • ( Leave a comment )

No significant changes on US Inflation Data (April 2025)

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on May 27, 2025 • ( Leave a comment )

Tracking Unemployment Trends: Weekly Claims Jump to 241,000

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on May 1, 2025 • ( Leave a comment )

Very Low Level of Unemployment Insurance Claims (week of 2025-04-12)

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on April 17, 2025 • ( Leave a comment )

Households ease expectations about high prices

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on October 9, 2024 • ( Leave a comment )

[Econometricus Nowcast] New Unemployment Insurance Claims Still on the Lower Side

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on August 22, 2024 • ( 1 Comment )

The week ending on 2024-08-17 registered a preliminary number of 232,000 new claims. The US Department of Labor’s reported number is not  significantly different than its previous ten weeks running average of […]

US labor market is neither shrinking nor expanding

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on August 20, 2024 • ( 1 Comment )

Considering recent data on Unemployment Insurance Claims where new issues are both not outstanding, and within the trend (227,000), as well as employment payroll lackluster additions (114,000), what labor analysts observe is […]

Industries that may adjust hiring as the Labor Market softens

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on August 15, 2024 • ( Leave a comment )

Recent uptick in the Unemployment Rate may be a spillover of the so-called “Great Resignation”. The main effect of the phenomenon has been a tight Labor Market where employers struggled to find […]

[Econometricus Nowcast] Lower Levels of New Unemployment Insurance Claims

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on August 15, 2024 • ( 1 Comment )

The week ending on 2024-08-10 registered a preliminary number of 227,000 new unemployment insurance claims. The US Department of Labor’s reported number is significantly lower than its previous ten weeks running average […]

No Significant Changes in US Inflation during July 2024

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on August 14, 2024 • ( Leave a comment )

Inflation remained persistently sticky during July 2024. Reported Data on Headline Inflation for the month read at 2.84 percent change on over-the-year basis. Change over-the-month totaled 0.15 percent. The current over-the-year change […]

[Econometricus Nowcast] US Unemployment Rate Unchanged

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on August 8, 2024 • ( Leave a comment )

Considering the latest data available (published on 2024-07-01) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on both Labor Force Participation and Number of Unemployed People, the Unemployment Rate Nowcast reads unchanged at 4.39 […]

US Labor Market may be Correcting High Compensations from “Great Resignation”

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on August 5, 2024 • ( 3 Comments )

The reported number of unemployed people (7,163,000) plus the weekly mean of Unemployment Insurance Initial Claims (240,000) pushed the US Unemployment Rate to almost 4.4% during the month of July 2024. Interpreting […]

All Eyes on Sticky Wage Inflation

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on August 1, 2024 • ( 1 Comment )

Despite recent labor market cooldown news, data show price increases may have a greater risk than unemployment rate increases. Analysts looking to understand the balance of risk within the Federal Reserve dual […]

Two years of US Labor Market Lock-Down

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on July 30, 2024 • ( 1 Comment )

July 2024 marks two years of constant decline in frictional unemployment levels. Labor Quits Data continue to show employees are staying put, while Separations Data show employers do not easily let go […]

Maryland Unemployment Rate by County, Estimates for July 2024

By Giancarlo Salazar-Caicedo on July 30, 2024 • ( Leave a comment )

County Unemployment Rate Worcester County 3.4 Allegany County 2.9 Baltimore city 3 Cecil County 2.3 Baltimore County 2.3 Carroll County 1.7 Calvert County 1.9 Dorchester County 2.4 Anne Arundel County 1.9 Frederick […]

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Statistics and Time Series. »

The Interest on Reserves Balances Facility passed its first two days of tests

Maryland Unemployment Rate by County, Estimates for July 2024

Import Prices on the Rise Rapidly, Jeopardize US Inflation

Politics »

Data show Car Industry does just well without Donald Trump’s Advice.

Does a worker choose not to work when collecting Social Security?

Do Workers on Unemployment Insurance make Other Workers’ Income Worst?

Economic History »

Towards rethinking the saving rate in Solow-Swan Model.

Housing building fatigue: an alternative interpretation of the origin of the Great Recession.

Protected: If Smith and Ricardo were right, what patterns of economic specialization should we observe under free trade?

Policy »

All Eyes on Sticky Wage Inflation

Number of Waged Workers Decreased. Not seen since the Pandemic

Inflation concerns from overheated labor market may be over

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Bureau of Labor Statistics Economic Data Economic Recovery Economics Federal reserve Level of employment Macroeconomics Macroeconomics Research Firm News Qualitative Economics Social Science Research United States US Economy

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